If Saudi Arabia declares war with Lebanon, Iran, Yemen, etc. (and any of those are possible)...then it could keep oil heading higher. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-09/saudi-arabia-orders-its-citizens-leave-lebanon-immediately
Trading seems fun, exciting, exhilarating, etc. so it has a lot of draw to it. And many people won't dig deeper than the euphoric emotion that they feel. However, trading is MUCH harder than investing. And much of the industry is bent towards getting you to trade rather than invest.